The Madad's Coalition Monitor

Election victory in Israel is achieved through the formation of a coalition of several parties, which together bear the burden of governing the country. The composition of coalitions is determined by the election results, and the possibilities that follow, and are subject to political and ideological understandings.

On this page there are five possible coalitions and the weighted average number of seats they receive in the polls over time. The number of seats for each coalition is determined by weighting all the surveys published in the media, with reference to the date of the survey, the number of participants in it and other data. Note that the index line does not represent numbers as they appear in surveys, but the average of their combinations.

Forming a coalition is the most important key in the political arena in Israel, and this automated graph represents the more and less realistic scenarios for forming a coalition. Of course, the numerical calculation of the polls is not the only determining variable as politicians form their blocs. Alongside it are also ideological considerations, political calculations and long-term alliances, the voter preferences of each party, and the personal considerations of leaders. At this stage of the race, we present, as mentioned, four options for different coalitions whose political feasibility is not unfounded. To see the moving average for each party individually (in Hebrew), click here. To see all the surveys used to calculate the average (Hebrew), click here.