Last updated on: 09/10/2026 09:45
The simulation comprises 10,000 runs. The graph presents the top 100 outcomes; accordingly, only outcomes accounting for more than 1% of all runs are displayed. More granular results are provided in the accompanying tables.
| Party | Bottom 5% |
Top 95% |
Average | Mode |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yashar! | 16 | 31 | 23.1 | 23 |
| Likud | 16 | 30 | 23.0 | 23 |
| B'Yachad (Bennett and Lapid) | 8 | 17 | 12.8 | 13 |
| The Democrats | 6 | 13 | 9.3 | 9 |
| Israel Beitanu | 5 | 12 | 8.4 | 8 |
| Otzma Yehudit | 5 | 11 | 8.0 | 8 |
| United Torah Judaism | 5 | 11 | 7.8 | 8 |
| Joint List | 0 | 13 | 7.8 | 8 |
| Shas | 5 | 11 | 7.7 | 8 |
| Religious Zionists | 4 | 8 | 5.9 | 6 |
| Ra'am | 0 | 9 | 4.7 | 5 |
| Ofer Winter | 0 | 5 | 1.4 | 0 |
| The Reservists | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Blue and White | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 |
| Bloc | Bottom 5% |
Top 95% |
Average | Mode |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Coalition | 44 | 64 | 53.9 | 54 |
| The Opposition | 44 | 63 | 53.6 | 54 |
| Arab Parties | 5 | 19 | 12.5 | 13 |
| 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Coalition Majority: 12.23% |
| Opposition Majority (without Arab parties): 10.89% |
| No Majority without Arab parties: 76.88% |
| More Seats for the Coalition: 48.86% |
| More Seats for the Opposition (without Arab parties): 47.49% |
| Coalition-Opposition Tie (without Arab parties): 3.65% |
