Political Snapshot
Madad Poll
Seat Projections & Public Opinion · August 26, 2026
1,407 respondents
Sampling error ±3.4% (95% confidence)
Sampling error ±3.4% (95% confidence)
Madad Poll — Shmuel Rosner & Noah Slepkov · In partnership with Project Midgam (Dr. Ariel Ayalon), Askaria (Dudi Dror), and StatNet (Yosef Makhleda). Additional data: Hive. Statistical consultants: Prof. David Steinberg.
The poll was conducted among 1,407 respondents, with an average national sampling error of ±3.4 percentage points. Field dates: August 25–26, 2026.
The poll was conducted among 1,407 respondents, with an average national sampling error of ±3.4 percentage points. Field dates: August 25–26, 2026.
Seat Projections
Knesset Seats (out of 120)
This week’s projection and change from last week. The Joint List doubles its seats to 10 as Balad joins; Likud drops 4 to 19; five parties — including Ofer Winter’s list — remain below the electoral threshold.
Yashar!
24▼2
Likud
19▼4
B’Yachad (Bennett)
13—
The Democrats
11—
Joint List
10▲5
Israel Beitanu
9—
Otzma Yehudit
8—
United Torah Judaism
8—
Shas
8▲1
Religious Zionists
5—
Ra’am
5—
Below the electoral threshold: Ofer Winter 2.2% · Bayit Yehudi (Tropper-Hendel) 2.0% · Blue and White (Gantz) 1.8% · Zehut (Feiglin) 1.1% · Economic Party (Zelikha) 0.9% · Unity Party (Erdan) 0.8%.
Total wasted votes: 11.5% (previous 5-week average: 7.6%).
Total wasted votes: 11.5% (previous 5-week average: 7.6%).
Bloc Calculation
Coalition vs. Opposition
Netanyahu Coalition
48
Opposition & Others
72
Majority threshold: 61 seats. The Joint List (Hadash-Ta’al-Balad, 10 seats) is counted in the opposition bloc. The opposition holds a clear majority.
Voter Mapping
Which Bloc Do Voters Lean Toward?
Leaning coalition · 33%
Between the blocs · 9%
Leaning opposition · 45%
Don’t know · 13%
Between the blocs · 9%
Leaning opposition · 45%
Don’t know · 13%
Scenario
Merger Scenario: Yashar! United with B’Yachad, Yesh Atid & Others
Yashar! (Eisenkot) merges with B’Yachad (Bennett), Yesh Atid (Lapid), Tropper and Hendel; Religious Zionists merges with Winter and Smotrich; Joint List includes Hadash, Ta’al and Balad.
| Party | Seats |
|---|---|
| Yashar! (Eisenkot) with Bennett, Lapid, Tropper & Hendel | 36 |
| Likud (Netanyahu) | 17 |
| Israel Beitanu (Liberman) | 10 |
| Otzma Yehudit (Ben Gvir) | 10 |
| The Democrats (Golan) | 10 |
| Joint List (Hadash-Ta’al-Balad) | 9 |
| United Torah Judaism (Goldknopf) | 8 |
| Shas (Deri) | 8 |
| Religious Zionists with Winter & Smotrich | 7 |
| Ra’am (Abbas) with Saglowitz | 5 |
Below threshold in this scenario: “Between the Blocs” (Erdan, Gantz, Shaked) 2.1%.
Netanyahu Coalition
50
Opposition & Others
70
Prime Minister
Who Is Fit to Be Prime Minister?
| Candidate | Last Week | This Week |
|---|---|---|
| Eisenkot | 47% | 46% |
| Netanyahu | 38% | 35% |
| Don’t know | 15% | 19% |
| Candidate | Total | Coalition Supporters | All Others |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eisenkot | 46% | 2% | 63% |
| Netanyahu | 35% | 85% | 16% |
| Don’t know | 19% | 13% | 21% |
Security
Should Israel Resume Fighting in Gaza Over the Kites?
Should or should not Israel resume fighting in Gaza following the launching of kites from the Strip toward the Gaza envelope communities?
| Total | Coalition Supporters | All Others | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Should resume fighting | 51% | 76% | 42% |
| Should not resume fighting | 31% | 8% | 39% |
| Don’t know | 18% | 16% | 19% |
Political
The Eisenkot Security Detail Affair
| Total | Coalition Supporters | All Others | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes, should provide | 53% | 34% | 60% |
| No, should not provide | 20% | 36% | 15% |
| Don’t know | 27% | 30% | 25% |
| Total | Coalition Supporters | All Others | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Not professional grounds | 33% | 12% | 41% |
| Professional grounds | 26% | 49% | 17% |
| Don’t know | 41% | 39% | 42% |
