Political Snapshot
Madad Poll
Seat Projections & Public Opinion · July 1, 2026
1,108 respondents
Sampling error ±3.2% (95% confidence)
Sampling error ±3.2% (95% confidence)
Madad Poll — Shmuel Rosner & Noah Slepkov · In partnership with Project Midgam (Dr. Ariel Ayalon), Askaria (Dudi Dror), and StatNet (Yosef Makhleda). Additional data: Hive. Statistical consultant: Prof. David Steinberg.
The poll was conducted among 1,108 respondents with a maximum sampling error of ±3.2%.
The poll was conducted among 1,108 respondents with a maximum sampling error of ±3.2%.
Seat Projections
Knesset Seats (out of 120)
This week’s projection and change from last week. Likud falls 2 to 21; B’Yachad surges 2 to 17; Ra’am gains 1.
Likud
21▼2
Yashar! (Eisenkot)
20—
B’Yachad (Bennett)
17▲2
The Democrats
11▲1
Israel Beitanu
10▼2
Shas
9▲1
Otzma Yehudit
8▼1
United Torah Judaism
8—
Hadash-Ta’al
6—
Religious Zionists
5—
Ra’am
5▲1
Below the electoral threshold: Reservists 1.4% · Balad 1.3% · Blue & White 1.8%.
Bloc Calculation
Coalition vs. Opposition
Netanyahu Coalition
51
Change Bloc (Bennett–Golan)
58
Change + Ra’am
63
MAJORITY
Majority threshold: 61 seats.
The War
1,000 Days of War
This week marked 1,000 days since October 7. Who is winning?
| Total | Coalition | All Others | |
|---|---|---|---|
| No decision yet | 49% | 27% | 53% |
| Israel is winning | 25% | 60% | 14% |
| Hamas is winning | 15% | 4% | 25% |
| Don’t know | 11% | 9% | 8% |
Public Opinion
Unity Government Under Netanyahu
Netanyahu declared his intention to form a “broad national government” under his leadership. Do you…
| Total | Coalition | All Others | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oppose a unity government under Netanyahu | 51% | 10% | 64% |
| Support a unity government under Netanyahu | 29% | 61% | 19% |
| Don’t know | 20% | 29% | 17% |
What best explains Netanyahu’s call for a national unity government?
| Total | Coalition | All Others | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mainly political calculation | 70% | 43% | 92% |
| Genuine desire for national unity | 17% | 39% | 5% |
| Don’t know | 13% | 18% | 3% |
Prime Minister
Who Should Lead a Unity Government?
| Candidate | % |
|---|---|
| Eisenkot | 44% |
| Netanyahu | 40% |
| Don’t know | 16% |
Public Opinion
What Government Do Voters Want After the Election?
| Government type | % |
|---|---|
| Change government (like Bennett-Lapid) | 32% |
| Zionist without Arabs and Haredim | 20% |
| Full right (like current coalition) | 18% |
| Unity with parties from coalition and opposition | 13% |
| Don’t know | 17% |
