Madad Poll

Seat Projections & Public Opinion · July 29, 2026

Madad Poll — Shmuel Rosner & Noah Slepkov · In partnership with Project Midgam (Dr. Ariel Ayalon), Askaria (Dudi Dror), and StatNet (Yosef Makhleda). Additional data: Hive. Statistical consultant: Prof. David Steinberg.
The poll was conducted among 956 respondents with a maximum sampling error of ±3.5%. Field date: July 28, 2026.

Knesset Seats (out of 120)

This week’s projection and change from last week. Likud and Yashar! both surge to 23, tied at the top. Democrats fall 2 seats; Hadash-Ta’al drops 2. Hendel-Tropper gains 1 to reach 5.

Coalition vs. Opposition

Majority threshold: 61 seats. Hendel-Tropper (5) is counted in the opposition bloc.

Where Are Voters Right Now?

Distribution of voters by degree of commitment (excluding “won’t vote”).

What If Ardan-Edelstein and Gantz-Simchi Run Separately?

Seat projection if smaller center-right parties split off from the main blocs. If the Ardan-Edelstein list joins the Netanyahu coalition, that bloc would reach 52 seats.

Party	Seats
Yashar! (Eisenkot)	22
Likud	20
The Democrats	10
B’Yachad (Bennett)	10
Israel Beitanu	9
United Torah Judaism	8
Hadash-Ta’al & Balad (joint)	8
Otzma Yehudit	8
Shas	7
Religious Zionists	5
Ra’am	5
Ardan-Edelstein (separate)	4
Hendel-Tropper	4

Who Is Fit to Be Prime Minister?

Netanyahu vs. Eisenkot

Candidate	Result
Eisenkot	47%
Netanyahu	36%
Don’t know	17%

Netanyahu vs. Bennett — trend

Candidate	Last Week	This Week
Bennett	43%	45% ▲2
Netanyahu	40%	40%
Don’t know	17%	15%

Iran: War, Trump, and the Washington Visit

Should Israel renew the war against Iran?

Answer	Share
Yes, Israel should renew the war	45%
No	32%
Don’t know	23%

How would you describe the Netanyahu-Trump relationship?

Answer	Share
Very good	30%
Fairly good	27%
Fairly not good	27%
Don’t know	16%

Did Netanyahu’s Washington visit improve the chances of action against Iran?

Answer	Share
No change	55%
Yes, improved the chances	28%
Don’t know	17%

Why did Netanyahu visit Washington? (main reason)

Answer	Share
For political/electoral reasons	43%
For diplomatic-security reasons	36%
For the Graham funeral	14%
Don’t know	7%

Do you trust Trump to handle the Iran nuclear issue in Israel’s favor?

Answer	Share
Do not trust	62%
Trust	25%
Don’t know	13%

Settler Farms and Violence

Do settlement outposts and farms in the West Bank contribute to or harm Israel’s security?

Answer	Share
Contribute to security	48%
Harm security	37%
Don’t know	15%

Finance Minister Smotrich said settlers are “the least violent sector in Israeli society.” Do you agree?

Answer	Share
Disagree — they are violent	46%
Agree with Smotrich	31%
Don’t know	23%