Political Snapshot
Madad Poll
Seat Projections & Public Opinion · June 17, 2026
973 respondents
Sampling error ±3.1% (95% confidence)
Sampling error ±3.1% (95% confidence)
Conducted for Channel 13 News. Madad Poll — Shmuel Rosner & Noah Slepkov · In partnership with Project Midgam (Dr. Ariel Ayalon), Askaria (Dudi Dror — Haredi sector), and StatNet (Yosef Makhleda — Arab sector). Additional data: Hive. Statistical consultant: Prof. David Steinberg.
The poll was conducted among 973 respondents with a maximum sampling error of ±3.1%.
The poll was conducted among 973 respondents with a maximum sampling error of ±3.1%.
Seat Projections
Knesset Seats (out of 120)
This week’s projection (first week of tracking; no prior-week change shown). Likud leads at 22; B’Yachad third with 17.
Likud
22
Yashar! (Eisenkot)
20
B’Yachad (Bennett)
17
The Democrats
11
Israel Beitanu
11
Shas
9
Otzma Yehudit
8
United Torah Judaism
8
Hadash-Ta’al
6
Religious Zionists
4
Ra’am
4
Below the electoral threshold: Reservists (Miluimnikim) 3.0% · Balad 2.4% · Blue & White 2.0%.
Bloc Calculation
Coalition Scenarios
Full Right Bloc
51
Change Bloc (Bennett–Golan)
59
Change + Ra’am
63
MAJORITY
Without Haredim, Arabs & Extremes
85
MAJORITY
Majority threshold: 61 seats. The Change+Ra’am bloc holds a clear majority.
Scenario
Bennett–Eisenkot Merger Scenarios
| Party | Seats |
|---|---|
| Yashar! (Eisenkot+Bennett) | 35 |
| Likud | 20 |
| Israel Beitanu | 12 |
| The Democrats | 10 |
| Shas | 9 |
| Otzma Yehudit | 8 |
| United Torah Judaism | 7 |
| Hadash-Ta’al | 6 |
| Religious Zionists | 5 |
| Reservists | 4 |
| Ra’am | 4 |
| Party | Seats |
|---|---|
| B’Yachad (Bennett+Eisenkot) | 31 |
| Likud | 20 |
| Israel Beitanu | 13 |
| The Democrats | 12 |
| Shas | 10 |
| Otzma Yehudit | 8 |
| United Torah Judaism | 7 |
| Hadash-Ta’al | 6 |
| Religious Zionists | 5 |
| Reservists | 4 |
| Ra’am | 4 |
Voter Status
Who Has Already Decided?
Decided · 72%
Decided but not locked in · 9%
Still undecided · 11%
Won’t vote · 8%
Decided but not locked in · 9%
Still undecided · 11%
Won’t vote · 8%
Special Analysis
What Undecided Voters Care About
Among 650 undecided voters — who would best handle each issue?
| Coalition led by | Iranian Threat | Cost of Living | National Rifts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Netanyahu | 43% | 15% | 11% |
| Bennett | 15% | 36% | 26% |
| Eisenkot | 17% | 17% | 31% |
Foreign Policy & Security
Iran: The Deal and the War
| Total | Coalition Supporters | Non-Coalition | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bad for Israel | 69% | 70% | 59% |
| Good for Israel | 7% | 6% | 16% |
| Don’t know | 24% | 24% | 25% |
| Total | Coalition Supporters | Non-Coalition | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Did not achieve most objectives | 75% | 59% | 81% |
| Achieved most objectives | 14% | 28% | 9% |
| Don’t know | 11% | 13% | 10% |
