Political Snapshot
Madad Poll
Seat Projections & Public Opinion · June 24, 2026
1,301 respondents
Sampling error ±3.1% (95% confidence)
Sampling error ±3.1% (95% confidence)
Conducted for Channel 13 News. Madad Poll — Shmuel Rosner & Noah Slepkov · In partnership with Project Midgam (Dr. Ariel Ayalon), Askaria (Dudi Dror), and StatNet (Yosef Makhleda). Additional data: Hive. Statistical consultant: Prof. David Steinberg.
The poll was conducted among 1,301 respondents with a maximum sampling error of ±3.1%.
The poll was conducted among 1,301 respondents with a maximum sampling error of ±3.1%.
Seat Projections
Knesset Seats (out of 120)
This week’s projection and change from last week. Likud rises to 23; B’Yachad falls 2 to 15; Israel Beitanu gains 1 to 12.
Likud
23▲1
Yashar! (Eisenkot)
20—
B’Yachad (Bennett)
15▼2
Israel Beitanu
12▲1
The Democrats
10▼1
Otzma Yehudit
9▲1
Shas
8▼1
United Torah Judaism
8—
Hadash-Ta’al
6—
Religious Zionists
5▲1
Ra’am
4—
Below the electoral threshold: Reservists 1.3% · Balad 1.5% · Blue & White 1.8%.
Bloc Calculation
How Many Seats per Bloc?
Full Right Bloc
53
Change Bloc (Bennett–Golan)
57
Change + Ra’am
61
MAJORITY
Majority threshold: 61 seats. Change+Ra’am reaches exactly 61 — the minimum majority.
Public Opinion
What Type of Government Does the Public Prefer?
| Government type | % |
|---|---|
| Like the Change government (Bennett-Lapid style) | 27% |
| Like the current coalition | 23% |
| Without Haredim and Arabs | 21% |
| Broad national unity | 16% |
| Don’t know | 13% |
US Arena
Trump: Good or Bad for Israel?
| Total | Coalition Supporters | |
|---|---|---|
| Bad for Israel | 42% | 31% |
| Good for Israel | 21% | 30% |
| Don’t know | 37% | 39% |
| 6 Months Ago | Today | |
|---|---|---|
| Very accurate | 38% | 20% |
| Fairly accurate | 34% | 34% |
| Not very accurate | 15% | 22% |
| Not accurate at all | 6% | 16% |
| Don’t know | 8% | 8% |
Trump’s Collapse Among 50 Israelis (Tracking Panel)
50 respondents were asked the same question in November and again now.
Best Ever
Not Best
November
74%
26%
Today
8%
92%
Prime Minister
Head-to-Head: Who Is Fit to Lead?
| Total | Coalition Supporters | |
|---|---|---|
| Eisenkot | 43% | 4% |
| Netanyahu | 39% | 88% |
| Don’t know | 18% | 8% |
| Total | Coalition Supporters | |
|---|---|---|
| Netanyahu | 44% | 93% |
| Bennett | 41% | 1% |
| Don’t know | 15% | 6% |
| Total | Opposition Supporters | |
|---|---|---|
| Eisenkot | 42% | 49% |
| Bennett | 21% | 32% |
| Don’t know | 37% | 19% |
Judicial System
Composition of the Judges Selection Committee
Following debate over a more politically-weighted committee (6 politicians vs. 3 judges):
| Total | Coalition | Opposition | |
|---|---|---|---|
| For more political composition | 31% | 52% | 12% |
| Against more political composition | 54% | 23% | 75% |
| Don’t know | 15% | 25% | 13% |
Foreign Policy
Iran & Lebanon
| Last Week | This Week | |
|---|---|---|
| Bad for Israel | 69% | 72% |
| Good for Israel | 7% | 11% |
| Don’t know | 24% | 17% |
| Total | Coalition Supporters | |
|---|---|---|
| Should respect it | 37% | 13% |
| Should not respect it | 48% | 72% |
| Don’t know | 15% | 15% |
